Report

Extreme weather events in the Arctic and beyond: A global state of emergency

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Report Summary

The pronounced warming of the Arctic, surpassing three times the global average rate, signals an urgent global climate emergency, influencing worldwide weather patterns and ecosystems. This rapid change, characterized by the accelerated loss of Arctic sea ice and Greenland ice sheet melting, necessitates immediate global action focusing on emissions reductions, greenhouse gas (GHG) removal, and innovative Arctic refreezing strategies to mitigate adverse impacts, including potential contributions to extreme global weather events.

Arctic warming triggers feedback loops that exacerbate global warming, transforming the region from a carbon sink to a source as permafrost thaws, releasing significant amounts of carbon dioxide and methane. This process destabilizes the Jet Stream and slows the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, leading to unusual weather patterns affecting indigenous communities and ecosystems. The call to action includes rapid emissions cuts, large-scale GHG removal, and Arctic ecosystem restoration efforts. Emphasizing the need for global cooperation and the integration of indigenous knowledge, the situation demands a concerted commitment to preventing catastrophic outcomes and preserving the Arctic's role in the global climate system.

Key Insights

1. Redefined weather systems due to Arctic transformation

The Arctic's significant and rapid temperature rise beyond global averages causes unprecedented shifts in weather systems. This transformation contributes to increased frequencies of extreme weather events. The change from reflective ice to absorbent sea water surfaces amplifies this effect, with consequences for weather patterns and sea level rise.

2. Permafrost thaw as a critical carbon source

Warming in the Arctic leads to permafrost thaw, releasing large amounts of carbon dioxide and methane. Once a carbon sink, the Arctic is now adding to the warming, at rates exceeding even the most alarming predictions. If greenhouse gas emissions remain unchecked, the majority of near-surface permafrost may be lost by 2100.

3. Indigenous communities at the heart of climate solutions

Indigenous knowledge offers invaluable insights into environmental changes, helping shape effective climate actions. Engaging with Indigenous communities is vital for observation networks and for identifying sustainable solutions that incorporate traditional wisdom and living practices.

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